In the next five years, the production of cow’s milk in Italy will increase by +10/+15%, with an average annual rate of change of +2/+3% that is destined to continue until 2030. This is the forecast on cow’s milk production in Italy made by Ismea for the Italian farmers and breeders’ association Alleanza Cooperative Agroalimentari. The report was presented in Verona during the third edition of Dairy Summit (in the picture above), the general states of the Italian dairy supply chain.
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Thanks to the greater availability of raw materials, imports of milk from abroad are expected to fall -8% in volume, also considering the drop in domestic demand. Forecasts on exports are very optimistic. They should increase significantly, with a growth trend of +25% in volume in the next five years.
Italy will reach self-sufficiency in terms of raw material within a few years (today it is stuck at 80%). In the last five years, cow’s milk production in Italy has significantly increased, exceeding 12.6 million tons in 2020 (+13.4% compared to 2015, +4.4% between 2020 and 2019). Most of the production increase was realized in Northern Italy (Lombardy +19%, Emilia Romagna +15%, Veneto + 6.0%, Piedmont +15%), but also in some regions of Southern Italy (Apulia +12%, Sicily and Basilicata +11%, Calabria +17%).
“In order for the significant increase in milk production at the national level to be sustainable from an economic point of view, – says Giovanni Guarneri (in the photo above), dairy sector coordinator of Alleanza Cooperative Agroalimentari – the supply chain will have to rely on a strategy that aims to develop new commercial channels by increasing the exports of dairy products, also in view of the prospects of growth in global demand. It will also be necessary to identify and develop new market segments with alternative destinations for milk”.